|For Immediate Release:
Friday, May 27, 2022
Columbus, OH — In case you missed it, the Ohio Capital Journal says Mike DeWine has problems with Republican voters after he barely escaped weak primary challengers earlier this month. DeWine barely crossed 48% of support in the May 3 primary, and more Republicans voted against DeWine than for him.
“It’s not a great sign when you’re an incumbent governor and you can’t even get a majority of the vote in your own primary, and it’s likely good news for Democratic nominee Nan Whaley,” writes Ohio Capital Journal’s Marty Schladen.
“It’s clear Mike DeWine is in real trouble come November. Republicans and Democrats both agree: Mike DeWine is the wrong choice for Ohio. We look forward to continuing to show voters that DeWine’s corruption and incompetence has cost them too much and has gone on long enough. It’s time for a new direction under Nan Whaley’s leadership,” said Ohio Democratic Party spokesperson Matt Keyes.
Read more from Ohio Capital Journal on the study here and below:
A pre-primary poll designed by six political scientists and the actual results of the election seem to show that former President Donald Trump’s endorsement was a decisive factor in the Ohio Republican Primary for U.S. Senate. The analysis also seems to show that GOP Gov. Mike DeWine has some work to do if he wants the full support of his party in the November General Election.
[Ohio State political science Professor Emeritus Paul] Beck said the point of the exercise wasn’t to predict the outcome of the primary. Rather, he and colleagues Ned Foley, Chris Gelpi, Tom Nelson and Gillian Thompson, also of Ohio State — as well as Charles Stewart III of MIT — had varying research interests they pursued.
In the GOP primary for Ohio governor, the thermometer readings tell a difficult story for incumbent Gov. Mike DeWine. At 53 degrees, his thermometer rating lagged Trump’s by 22 and was lower than all four front-runners for the Senate seat. And when correlated with Republicans’ feelings for Trump, DeWine did far worse than even Dolan, suggesting that the Republicans who pulled the lever for DeWine were even more opposed to the former president.
In the end, DeWine won, but with just 48% of the vote, while his two main challengers got a combined 50%.
It’s not a great sign when you’re an incumbent governor and you can’t even get a majority of the vote in your own primary, and it’s likely good news for Democratic nominee Nan Whaley.